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Fear of a Weak Russia
If Moscow’s failures continue, the world may soon become a much more dangerous place.
by D. Bandlerm, J.Kulhanek, August 5, 2009

“The reaction from the American defense establishment to news that Russian submarines have been operating off the U.S. coast has been fairly nonchalant, bordering on smug…”

Russia’s weakness – military, political, and economic – is fast becoming conventional wisdom in Washington. In a recent interview with the Wall Street Journal U.S. Vice President Joseph Biden even suggested that a weakened Russia might work to the advantage of the United States… Whether he was speaking for President Barack Obama or not, Biden also sent an unequivocal signal to the Kremlin that it should not take any “reset” for granted and that the White House will not be intimidated by Russian aggression.

But before the new administration gets too comfortable, it’s worth examining whether a weakened Russia is really in anyone’s interest. In fact, an unstable Russia might prove far more dangerous. For the sake of argument, we present the following not-so-unlikely scenario in which Russia undergoes a series of political and economic upheavals. Consider it less a prediction than a worst-case course of events for how Russian weakness could mean trouble.

Read full article at Foreign Policy, USA